Rafael Nadal vs. Big Data

Everyone saw the image of Nadal's 4% chance of victory against Medveveed in the final of the last Australian Open. Subsequent headlines resembled “Nadal Beats Big Data” etc. A few weeks later Marco Asensio scores a goal that, according to the model shown on television, had a 10% chance of being a goal. Subsequently, identical headlines, possibly what happens to us is that when we point to the moon we look at the finger and we do not realize what is behind those numbers... [Continue reading]